This category confounds me a bit this year. I think I'm expecting Boyhood to win, even though I don't think it should. I would personally vote for Whiplash, but I don't think it will win - it's too small a movie. American Sniper was a phenomenal movie, directed by Clint Eastwood, but it feels to Republican for the average Academy voter. The Grand Budapest is a really lovely, droll movie, but it didn't get any acting nominations, and I'm not hearing much buzz about it (and honestly, I don't see it as the kind of film that the Academy likes to honor - as much as I loved it, I'm surprised it got nominated at all). Selma was good, but again, no acting nominations, and no directing nomination. I'm hoping Boyhood doesn't win because I honestly didn't like it that much. It relied entirely on it's gimmick of watching these kids grow up, with no plot. I wanted story, I wanted something more. It's compelling viewing, but not really a good movie, if that makes sense. As good as The Theory of Everything is, I don't see it winning for some reason. I think maybe because it's a quieter movie: it's a love story with a long-suffering wife. That basically leaves Birdman versus The Imitation Game and Birdman is just such a COOL movie. The Imitation Game is a great film, and it's got so much relevance to today's society: from the whole thing being about the beginning of computers to the homosexuality of it's lead character. Birdman on the other hand is about Hollywood, and the whole thing looks like it was a single take (cleverly edited and shot) and it's gritty and New Yorker and just plain cool.
My Pick: Birdman or (The Unexpected Virtue of Ignorance)